Hermes A vs Carmelo CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 3
FPH
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FPH
1 - 0
SPA
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FPH
2 - 1
LLA
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 3
FPH
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FPH
2 - 0
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carmelo CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
LLA
62%
18%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
CAR
24%
23%
54%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
6 - 1
MON
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CET
1 - 2
CAR
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 8
BBV
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |