Herlev vs Roskilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
FRE
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SKJ
1 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
HER
0 - 5
FCH
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
B19
3 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAE
4 - 0
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2013 |
ROS
2 - 1
SVE
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LFA
3 - 3
ROS
29%
25%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
ROS
3 - 1
FRE
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
NBB
0 - 1
ROS
15%
21%
63%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 2
ROS
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |