Herlev vs Holbæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 4
HER
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HER
0 - 1
KAS
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FA2
1 - 2
HER
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
B73
2 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HER
3 - 0
STE
75%
14%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
HOL
3 - 1
STE
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 1
HOL
15%
21%
65%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
HOL
3 - 0
TAA
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
HOL
4 - 2
KAS
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
KAR
0 - 1
HOL
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |