Herlev vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
63%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
FCH
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
B19
2 - 2
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
AVA
22%
23%
56%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SOL
0 - 0
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
AVE
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 1
HVI
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FCH
2 - 0
FRE
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BFR
2 - 0
FRE
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
4 - 2
B19
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LFA
2 - 1
FRE
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |