Herlev vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
B93
0 - 0
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
SKJ
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
HVI
1 - 2
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
AAR
2 - 5
HER
18%
21%
62%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
VAN
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BGA
0 - 7
RIS
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SVE
2 - 1
BGA
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BGA
1 - 1
BFR
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 1
BGA
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 1
BGA
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |