Heriot-Watt vs Stirling University II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
STI
0 - 2
HER
76%
15%
10%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +4 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TYN
2 - 0
HER
44%
24%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
GRE
47%
23%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CIV
0 - 2
HER
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Stirling University II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PRE
1 - 0
STI
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
STI
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
STI
0 - 2
HER
76%
15%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
STI
7 - 2
TYN
76%
15%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
STI
6 - 2
CIV
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |