Heriot-Watt vs Preston Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
LOT
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
WHI
0 - 2
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
EAS
0 - 3
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
DAL
2 - 3
HER
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
SPA
4 - 1
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Preston Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
PRE
0 - 2
CIV
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
PRE
1 - 4
WHI
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
EAS
2 - 2
PRE
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2006 |
PRE
1 - 1
EDI
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
DAL
3 - 2
PRE
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |