Heriot-Watt vs Civil Service Strollers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
HER
1 - 4
SPA
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
EDI
1 - 2
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HER
0 - 3
BLA
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
WHI
1 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
SEL
7 - 2
HER
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CIV
1 - 1
SEL
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LOT
3 - 1
CIV
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CIV
0 - 4
WHI
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
CIV
1 - 1
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BLA
2 - 1
CIV
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |