Hergiswil vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
69%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ZOF
1 - 2
HER
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
KUS
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
EMM
3 - 1
HER
20%
21%
59%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
HOC
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
IBA
2 - 1
HER
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
STG
2 - 1
TUG
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TUG
5 - 1
STA
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ETO
1 - 2
TUG
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
TUG
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
TUG
0 - 2
STA
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |