Hergiswil vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
HOC
4 - 3
HER
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
HER
3 - 3
MAL
84%
11%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
GUN
1 - 6
HER
34%
22%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
HER
3 - 1
CAS
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GOL
2 - 1
HER
73%
15%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
RUS
1 - 0
IBA
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
IBA
2 - 2
HOC
49%
23%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 2
IBA
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
IBA
0 - 0
GUN
58%
21%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
IBA
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |