Hergiswil vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
EMM
2 - 2
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
IBA
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TAV
3 - 1
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
FCA
49%
23%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GOL
2 - 0
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
FCS
3 - 0
LSS
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 0
EMM
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
IBA
2 - 0
FCS
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 0
TAV
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCS
41%
24%
36%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |