Herfølge BK vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herfølge BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
FRE
1 - 1
HER
13%
22%
66%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
HER
0 - 1
FAR
61%
20%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
BRØ
0 - 1
HER
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
HER
2 - 0
RAN
67%
18%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
B19
1 - 3
HER
11%
21%
68%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
AAF
0 - 2
FRE
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ACH
0 - 0
AAF
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
AAF
2 - 1
HVI
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
B93
1 - 0
AAF
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
AAF
1 - 2
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |