Hereford United vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
49.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 3
SOU
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
AFC
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 0
BRA
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CRE
2 - 0
SWI
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GIL
3 - 4
CRE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
CRE
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 1
STF
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |