Hereford United vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
GUL
1 - 0
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
HER
1 - 4
MKD
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 1
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
NOT
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 3
HER
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
DAG
2 - 0
CRE
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
MAC
4 - 1
CRE
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
CRE
2 - 2
ROC
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 2
CRE
43%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CRE
0 - 0
LIN
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |