Hereford vs Torquay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
SCA
3 - 0
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
GLO
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
GLO
2 - 3
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
SPE
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BIS
0 - 1
HER
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
GUL
2 - 2
EAS
77%
14%
8%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
GUL
0 - 1
WHI
61%
21%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CHM
2 - 0
GUL
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GUL
3 - 2
HEM
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FRO
1 - 4
GUL
17%
21%
62%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |