Hereford vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
HER
1 - 2
LEA
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
KID
3 - 1
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
GUI
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CUR
2 - 0
HER
41%
24%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
YOR
19%
23%
59%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
KID
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
KID
3 - 1
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 1
KID
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 2
KID
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
KID
1 - 3
BOS
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |