Hereford vs Chesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
RED
0 - 2
HER
10%
18%
73%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
HER
2 - 0
ROY
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HER
5 - 1
GOS
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 11 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
HER
1 - 0
FRO
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 1
HER
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
SLO
2 - 1
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 0
RED
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 6
WEY
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -3 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 0
HIT
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 0
KET
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |