Hereford vs Bromsgrove Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
HER
61%
24%
15%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HER
1 - 3
GLO
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
3 - 1
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
BUX
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bromsgrove Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 1
RED
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
4 - 3
STA
18%
23%
60%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
STR
4 - 2
BRO
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 1
HIT
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RUS
3 - 1
BRO
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |