Hereford vs Blyth Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 2
HER
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
CHO
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 0
HER
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ALF
3 - 3
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
SOL
22%
24%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
KET
4 - 0
BLY
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BLY
0 - 2
LEA
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
4 - 0
BLY
70%
18%
11%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
BLY
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BLY
0 - 1
BOS
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |