Heredia vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAC
2 - 0
HER
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
DEP
82%
12%
7%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CON
3 - 1
HER
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
ZAC
86%
9%
4%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
COB
2 - 1
HER
20%
25%
55%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MIX
3 - 1
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAY
3 - 2
MIX
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SAC
5 - 2
MIX
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MIX
1 - 1
DEP
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
MIX
68%
21%
12%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |