Heredia vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
HER
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
COM
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
HAL
4 - 1
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
LEO
51%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
RET
1 - 4
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
VEN
49%
27%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 1
CON
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CON
0 - 0
UNI
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
HAL
2 - 0
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |