Hércules vs Villarreal B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
HUE
74%
17%
8%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
XER
2 - 1
HER
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
UDL
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NUM
2 - 1
HER
37%
28%
34%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
HER
2 - 2
VAD
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 0
VIL
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
REC
3 - 1
VIL
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
HUE
1 - 0
VIL
46%
26%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
XER
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |