Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
CCF
4 - 0
HER
67%
19%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
HER
5 - 1
RJA
64%
20%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
HER
1 - 0
PUL
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
MUR
3 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
HER
2 - 0
SFE
67%
19%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
CAS
3 - 1
VAL
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1961 |
VAL
4 - 0
MAL
56%
22%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
CAD
1 - 1
VAL
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
VAL
1 - 4
LEV
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
CDT
3 - 0
VAL
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |