Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 0-4
Hércules vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
UDL
3 - 2
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
HER
0 - 0
EIB
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
ALB
1 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
HER
4 - 1
CDT
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
HER
2 - 1
ONT
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
VAD
0 - 3
VCF
39%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
VCF
0 - 2
RMA
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
RAC
2 - 1
VCF
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1997 |
VCF
0 - 3
FCB
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
MLL
2 - 1
VCF
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |