Hércules vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
FIG
2 - 1
HER
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
MAL
53%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
LOG
3 - 0
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
HER
4 - 3
REC
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
HER
2 - 1
RMC
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
VCF
3 - 1
DEP
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
OVI
0 - 2
VCF
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
VCF
2 - 1
CFC
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
CAS
1 - 0
VCF
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
VCF
0 - 1
FCB
73%
17%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |