Hércules vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ZAR
0 - 0
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FCB
5 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
MIR
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 3
HER
44%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 2
HER
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CDT
0 - 4
ALC
34%
28%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CDT
0 - 0
SPO
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 2
CDT
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CDT
0 - 3
SAB
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CCF
1 - 0
CDT
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |