Hércules vs Talavera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
UBC
0 - 1
HER
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
HER
1 - 1
ULP
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
NOV
2 - 2
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
HER
3 - 2
BEN
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
CAS
3 - 2
HER
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
TAL
2 - 2
GET
29%
29%
42%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CDM
0 - 1
TAL
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
TAL
1 - 1
CDT
20%
27%
53%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
LAN
2 - 2
TAL
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
TAL
2 - 0
VEC
40%
28%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |