Hércules vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
HER
3 - 2
CUL
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
MUR
3 - 2
HER
52%
20%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
HER
1 - 2
ZAR
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
CON
3 - 1
HER
44%
22%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
SPO
2 - 0
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
SDC
1 - 1
SPO
45%
22%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
SPO
5 - 0
ARE
78%
14%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
SPO
3 - 1
ALC
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
CUL
1 - 0
SPO
38%
21%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |