Hércules vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
CDT
3 - 1
HER
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
HER
5 - 0
CDO
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
MLL
1 - 0
HER
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
HER
2 - 1
CDB
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
MER
4 - 0
HER
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
RMC
0 - 0
OSA
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
GET
0 - 3
RMC
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
RMC
1 - 3
RAY
48%
26%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
SLA
2 - 4
RMC
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
RMC
2 - 0
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |