Hércules vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
RMC
4 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
CDT
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ZAR
0 - 0
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FCB
5 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
MIR
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
REC
2 - 1
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
REC
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
REC
0 - 0
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
REC
1 - 2
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
CCF
2 - 0
REC
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |