Hércules vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
MLL
1 - 0
HER
59%
21%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
HER
5 - 1
ALG
76%
16%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
PUE
2 - 1
HER
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
HER
1 - 2
MEL
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
OVI
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
REC
5 - 0
CDT
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
REC
4 - 2
MLL
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
ALG
1 - 0
REC
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
REC
2 - 1
PUE
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
MEL
0 - 0
REC
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |