Hércules vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
HER
2 - 0
CEU
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
SFE
2 - 0
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
HER
9 - 0
VIL
85%
10%
6%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
RJA
2 - 1
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
HER
5 - 2
CFC
77%
13%
10%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
RJA
6 - 2
VIL
82%
11%
7%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
UDL
2 - 1
RJA
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
CFC
0 - 2
RJA
64%
19%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
RJA
2 - 1
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
LEV
2 - 2
RJA
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |