Hércules vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
EXT
1 - 1
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
HER
0 - 2
LEV
60%
20%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
CAD
4 - 0
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
HER
4 - 2
CDT
68%
18%
13%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
CCF
2 - 2
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
RJA
1 - 1
CCF
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
CAA
3 - 0
RJA
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
RJA
3 - 0
CEU
78%
14%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
MAL
2 - 0
RJA
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
CDB
2 - 1
RJA
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |