Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
JOV
0 - 1
HER
11%
21%
69%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
HER
0 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
CIE
1 - 4
HER
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
COR
2 - 2
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
VAD
1 - 1
RAY
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
RAY
0 - 2
LEG
53%
25%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
CDT
2 - 1
RAY
11%
19%
70%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
RAY
1 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
RAY
0 - 0
EXT
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |