Hércules vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
68%
21%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
HER
3 - 2
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
NUM
2 - 0
HER
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
HER
0 - 3
LLE
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
LOG
2 - 1
HER
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
CDO
1 - 4
OSA
41%
31%
29%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 0
CDO
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
CDB
2 - 0
CDO
56%
27%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
CDO
1 - 0
LEG
39%
29%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1998 |
CDO
0 - 0
SPO
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |