Hércules vs Ontinyent CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
VAD
2 - 0
HER
69%
18%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
CDT
3 - 0
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
HER
2 - 0
REC
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
MLL
1 - 0
HER
59%
21%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
HER
5 - 1
ALG
76%
16%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ONT
2 - 0
REC
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
MLL
4 - 0
ONT
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ONT
3 - 1
ALG
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
PUE
3 - 1
ONT
68%
18%
15%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ONT
3 - 1
MEL
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |