Hércules vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 1
HER
56%
25%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
HUE
1 - 0
HER
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
HER
5 - 1
RSO
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
ALM
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GIM
1 - 1
HER
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NUM
2 - 2
CCF
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LEV
3 - 1
NUM
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
NUM
1 - 1
SLA
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NUM
3 - 1
GIR
65%
21%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
HUE
0 - 0
NUM
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |