Hércules vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
ZAR
2 - 0
HER
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ALB
0 - 1
HER
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HER
3 - 1
ALA
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
ZAR
18%
24%
59%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SLA
2 - 2
HER
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
NUM
2 - 1
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CAD
1 - 0
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
NUM
1 - 1
ALM
53%
26%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
MUR
3 - 0
NUM
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
NUM
0 - 1
CDT
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |