Hércules vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
BEN
0 - 3
HER
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
CAS
56%
24%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
PPJ
1 - 0
HER
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
HER
2 - 3
GET
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
NOV
0 - 1
GET
47%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
CDM
3 - 0
NOV
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
NOV
1 - 0
CDT
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
LAN
0 - 1
NOV
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
NOV
3 - 1
VEC
59%
23%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |