Hércules vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
HER
4 - 1
UDE
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
CDT
5 - 2
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
UDL
2 - 1
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
HER
3 - 1
BAL
68%
17%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
HER
3 - 0
XER
74%
15%
11%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
MEL
3 - 1
MUR
58%
21%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
MEL
2 - 2
ALC
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
VAL
4 - 1
MEL
65%
18%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
MEL
2 - 0
MLL
59%
20%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
MEL
1 - 0
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |