Hércules vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
MUR
1 - 2
HER
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
HER
1 - 0
RCD
63%
19%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1953 |
VAL
1 - 1
HER
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
HER
1 - 2
MEL
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
RJA
2 - 0
HER
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
GRA
3 - 1
RJA
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
ATB
1 - 1
GRA
59%
20%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
GRA
4 - 0
PUL
60%
20%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
GRA
1 - 1
MUR
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
MEL
1 - 0
GRA
67%
17%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |