Hércules vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 1
HER
31%
30%
40%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
HER
4 - 1
PEÑ
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
OSA
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 2
HER
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
HER
2 - 2
LEV
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
GIR
0 - 1
OSA
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 0
GIR
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
GIR
0 - 0
LEV
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
NOV
2 - 0
GIR
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
GIR
1 - 1
FIG
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |