Hércules vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
HER
1 - 1
CCF
57%
21%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
CAA
5 - 1
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
HER
1 - 0
CEU
71%
16%
14%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
MAL
3 - 0
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
HER
2 - 1
CDB
64%
20%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
RMA
3 - 3
ESP
88%
8%
4%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ESP
1 - 1
UDL
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATH
36%
25%
40%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
SEV
3 - 0
ESP
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
ESP
1 - 0
GRA
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |