Hércules vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ALA
2 - 0
HER
55%
22%
24%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
HER
1 - 1
SEV
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
HER
1 - 1
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
RSO
4 - 0
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
HER
2 - 1
VAD
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ESP
1 - 0
RSO
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
VAD
4 - 2
ESP
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ESP
2 - 2
DEP
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ESP
1 - 3
ATH
58%
20%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |