Hércules vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
BAD
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
HER
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
HER
2 - 1
LOR
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HER
2 - 0
SAB
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PXD
0 - 1
ELC
8%
21%
71%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ELC
4 - 1
PER
85%
12%
3%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
ELC
3 - 2
CDU
86%
12%
3%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ZAR
0 - 4
ELC
12%
23%
65%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
BAD
2 - 2
ELC
13%
21%
66%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |