Hércules vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
LEV
1 - 1
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
HER
1 - 1
MUR
61%
21%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
HER
3 - 0
CDB
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
MAL
4 - 0
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
SFE
1 - 0
MUR
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
MAL
4 - 1
SFE
71%
16%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
SFE
2 - 0
EXT
70%
17%
14%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
SDC
2 - 0
SFE
63%
19%
18%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
SFE
3 - 4
PUE
83%
11%
7%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |