Hércules vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HER
2 - 0
SAB
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
OLO
69%
19%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HER
2 - 1
RAY
14%
21%
66%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 2
BAL
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 1
VIL
19%
23%
59%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
EXT
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BET
4 - 1
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
LOR
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |