Segunda B Play-Offs Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Hércules vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CDT
0 - 1
HER
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
TUD
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
TUD
0 - 1
HER
29%
28%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LLO
0 - 2
HER
19%
28%
53%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
OLO
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CDT
0 - 1
HER
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 2
CDT
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CDT
0 - 0
MUR
23%
25%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 1
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FUE
0 - 1
CDT
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |