Hércules vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
CDB
5 - 1
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
HER
1 - 1
ELD
69%
17%
14%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
SFE
2 - 2
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
HER
1 - 1
ELC
72%
15%
12%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
MUR
1 - 0
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
MAL
4 - 1
CCF
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
CAA
4 - 0
MAL
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
MAL
4 - 2
CEU
66%
18%
16%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
MAL
3 - 0
CDT
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
CDB
4 - 1
MAL
65%
18%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |