Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
GIR
2 - 0
HER
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
BEN
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
HER
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
OSA
1 - 1
HER
27%
30%
43%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
HER
1 - 3
ALC
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CAS
3 - 1
OSA
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAS
41%
30%
30%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 1
LEV
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAS
37%
30%
33%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CAS
3 - 2
FIG
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |